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No RBI rate cuts in the near-term! Where are banking stocks headed in the next 3-6 months?

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⚡ Instant Key Takeaways (TL;DR)
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Core Development: No RBI rate cuts in the near-term! Where are banking stocks headed in the next 3-6 months?
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Market & Financial Impact: RBI MPC meeting October 2026: According to Gaurav Garg, Head of Research at Lemonn, large private-sector lenders could hold up better than the broader market following the RBI’s rate hike.
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Actionable Insight: 🏛️ Policy & Macro: Interest rate, inflation, or regulatory changes affecting broad market valuations.

RBI MPC meeting October 2026: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI), on Wednesday, 7 October, raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% and signalled a shift towards calibrated tightening, investors may have to wait longer for rate cuts.

"It underscored that given the current conditions, rate cuts are off the table in the near term and policy action ahead can only be a rate hike or a pause, depending on the evolving conditions and the outlook,” the central bank said.

Now, the focus is now on whether banks can protect their margins, sustain credit growth and manage funding costs over the next three to six months.

According to Gaurav Garg, Head of Research at Lemonn, large private-sector lenders could hold up better than the broader market following the RBI’s rate hike.

“The RBI’s 25 bp hike to 5.50%, with the stance moved to “calibrated tightening,” reverses the margin squeeze of the 2025 cutting cycle. Loans linked to external benchmarks reprice within weeks, while term deposits reset only on renewal,” Garg said.

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Official Publisher Attribution: This report is aggregated from LiveMint. ZeroLive provides live aggregation, automated sentiment synthesis, and exchange disclosure monitoring for retail market participants.
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